Giverny Capital, 15,4% de rentabilidad durante 26 años

Giverny Capital que a través de su fondo The Rochon Global Portfolio ha obtenido un rentabilidad anual del 15,4% anual desde 1993. Os dejó la evolución de la rentabilidad que ha obtenido, su actual cartera de valores y algunas partes de sus cartas a mi modo de ver destacables. Es un inversor que prima sobretodo la calidad a la hora de escoger las acciones.

En este gráfico se observa el comportamiento respecto al índice
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Cartera actual de Rochon Global Portfolio:

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Algunas perlas de las cartas:

Starbucks (carta de 2005)

My good friend Bernard Mooney (another coffee lover) and I were in the front row. We both started to follow the company in 1994. Bernard bought the first book written on the company ten years ago and talked about it in length and with enthusiasm. But we never bought shares because of the high P/E (in the 40s) at which the stock has always traded. As good “value” investors, we decided to wait for a more modest valuation.

But as I always say : “Discipline is to respect one owns rules. Wisdom is to know when to break
them”. In the case of Starbucks, I’ve been lacking wisdom for 12 years. And each year, I say to myself that perhaps the stock will go down so I can buy shares.

Mastercard, Visa y American Express (carta de 2008)

I took the time to compare the market shares, spending per card and profitabilites for all three major card companies. I believed that AMEX had the best brand but I also knew that Mastercard and Visa did not lend to consumers, as AMEX does. Mastercard and Visa were just transaction processors and the banks carry the loans on their books. The two companies just receive a fee for their work. It is a pretty good economic model.

As noted above, today’s recession has hurt AMEX a lot and the company had to increase its reserves for bad loans. Mastercard was immune to such charges. EPS in 2008 for Mastercard reached $9, a four and a half fold increase in three years. And the stock is up 200%.

Byd y Charlie Munger (carta de 2009)

During the Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting last May, I listened attentively to Charlie Munger’s discussion of BYD, a Chinese company led by Wang Chuan-Fu. Charlie said with great admiration that “Chuan-Fu is a combination of Thom as Edison and Jack Welch: I have never met such a businessman.” When we consider that Charlie is 86 years old and that he has probably met the greatest businessmen of the last two generations, it’s an extraordinary comment. His words didn’t fall on deaf ears and I was instantly interested in BYD.

The company manufactures an array of products but the most important is a revolutionary battery used in electric cars. Based on this invention, BYD la unched itself fearlessly into the car manufacturing business. As a fervent believer in the future of the electric car, I bécame enthralled with this high-potential company. Keep in mind that, with revenues of over $5 billion in 2009, BYD wasn’t exactly the new kid on the block.

My enthusiasm was cooled when I saw the company’s valuation on the market. The stock was trading at $15 on the Hong Kong market while the company only had EPS of $0.50 in 2008. A P/E ratio of 30 times seemed exaggerated in my mind. So being a persistent man, I woke up each morning to look at BYD’s closing price in Asia hoping that the stock had dropped so I could buy a stake in the company at a more reasonable valuation. This was in vain.

The company had an exceptional year in 2009. After nine months, BYD’s revenues climbed 39% and their new car division grew 50%. The company’s EPS has yet to be announced but it’s likely to have doubled to $1.06 for 2009 and analysts expect $1.84 in EPS for 2010.
The stock has soared 400% in a year, reaching its current level of $65. Sometimes, the artistic side of investing is to know when to let go, in a rare and exceptional moment, of market valuations and simply make a leap of faith based on an exceptional human being.

Intuitive Surgical (carta de 2010)

About five years ago, my longtime friend Bernard Mooney talked to me about a company making revolutionary medical products: Intuitive Surgical (IS). IS had invented a robotic surgery system called “Da Vinci”. This robotic system converted the movements of a surgeon into micro movements by the robotic tools inside a patient. In a few years, revenues at IS surged from $100 million to $1billion. The beauty of the system is that the company earns more revenue from specialized accessories than from the robot itself (similar to Gillette with its razor blades). In fact, each surgery costs about $2000 in accessories. The company has little competition and its products have quickly become very popular with surgeons in a number of different specialties (such as prostate surgeries and hysterectomies).

Un gráfico muy interesante (Carta 2019)

En esta última década el fondo principal de Rochon ha obtenido un 18,2% de rentabilidad anual. En este gráfico desglosa las fuentes de obtención de esta rentabilidad por parte del fondo. El incremento del ratio de valoración ha supuesto solo un 1% respecto al 18,2% de rentabilidad total obtenido.

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Más información en su página web corporativa:

http://www.givernycapital.com/en/accueil

El fondo sigue operando pero Rochon ya casi no escribe en su página: Aquí el último reporte 13F del fondo:

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1641864000164186420000008/0001641864-20-000008-index.htm

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Sin duda, uno de los mejores gestores del mundo. Este no necesita comprar tankeras ni panaderas para hacer un 15% anual. De los que le gustan a nuestro querido @Quixote1. Aquí dejo su excelente charla en Google talks:

BUY ONLY GREAT BUSINESESS!!!

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Pues si, @emgocor, de los grandes.
Lo preocupante es que ahora TODO el mundo menos cobas,az valor …todos quieren negocios excelentes.
La basura no la quiere nadie.

Del dicho al hecho hay mucho trecho

De Giverny Capital he intentado buscar información sobre la cartera de Rochon de un fondo que gestiona solo de acciones canadienses. Ese fondo lleva desde 2007 un 16,5% anual. El Rochon Capital Portfolio.

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A parte de la calidad, es un fondo que rota muy poco su portfolio. Esto aparece en su página:
“To own these companies for an average of five years”

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Esa cartera , la quiero estudiar en detalle…somos todo oídos (ojos).

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Yo hablé con él y Philippe Bouchart este verano, me pasaron todas las cartas e info y les ofrecí que trajeran su Fondo a Europa. Creo que no ven a España como un mercado potencial ahora mismo, pero me gustó mucho conversar con ellos y ver su visión. Sin duda, están a años luz de los latinos en cuanto a todo.

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Dile que te pasen su cartera de acciones canadienses. Para mi y para @Quixote1 :wink:

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Ojo con @emgocor y Cia …los gestores emergentes Spain vienen pegando fuerte!

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Es brutal este fondo. El de turtle creek también es top

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También hemos hablado de él. Turtle enfocado a crecimiento, y Giverny más conservador. Necesitamos cosas así en España, dale caña Carlos!!!

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mientras no sean contratables, sólo serán “copiables” a riesgo de que sea una foto fija del pasado.

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No los veo plagiarles, la verdad, aunque si podemos coger ideas. De hecho, hay muchas de su cartera que tenemos como BRK, Disney o Visa, por citar solo algunas.

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¿Con qué fecha están esas posiciones? Porque si es la lista de la documentación oficial pasada a la SEC puede ser de hace dos o tres meses y ahora no tener ninguna de ellas.

Este fondo si que rota poco. De media sus acciones permanecen en cartera 5 años.

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Como debe de ser, si uno quiere ganar dinero de verdad.

Fondos de categoría! Pena que en turtle no hay forma de ver las posiciones canadienses

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Pues habrá que ir allí a averiguarlas…

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Creo que están aquí:
https://www.holdingschannel.com/all/stocks-held-by-turtle-creek-asset-management-inc/

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